Promotion strategy
Store promotion planner
See how a percent off, an amount off, or free shipping changes contribution per order, and how much extra volume you need for monthly contribution to stay the same.
Calculations run in your browser. Asttero does not store the data you enter.
Result
— Extra orders needed to keep the same monthly contribution
Contribution per order
- Before the promo—
- During the promo—
- Change per order—
- Discount applied—
Volume you need
- Extra orders / month—
- Required order lift—
- Monthly contribution today—
- Monthly contribution at the same volume—
Your expected lift
- Orders with the lift you entered—
- Monthly contribution with that lift—
Order economics during the promo
- Gross order value—
- Net revenue after returns—
- Total variable costs—
- Contribution margin %—
How to read the result
A discount lowers what the customer pays. Product cost, packing, and outbound shipping usually stay the same. That is why contribution per order often falls faster than revenue. The planner shows the extra orders needed so that monthly contribution matches the baseline.
The result is a scenario on an averaged order. Real promotions also change mix, returns, ad cost, and who buys. It is not a forecast of campaign performance.
Compare discount levels
The table always shows percent-off scenarios so you can compare 10% to 30% off. Your selected promotion is highlighted when it differs from those rows.
| Scenario | Contribution / order | Change | Extra orders needed |
|---|
How we calculate
Promo order = the same order economics after lowering product value or customer-paid shipping Extra orders needed = current monthly orders × (baseline contribution / promo contribution − 1) If promo contribution ≤ 0, extra volume cannot recover the discount.
Example calculation
With products at $300 gross, $10 customer-paid shipping, 23% tax, $90 product cost, and the other sample costs from the margin calculator, a 15% product discount leaves about $83.70 contribution per order instead of $116.68. At 500 orders per month you need about 39% more orders, roughly 197 extra orders, for monthly contribution to stay the same.
FAQ
What does the promotion planner show?
It compares an average order before and after the discount. You see how much contribution the promo consumes, and how many extra orders you need for monthly contribution to stay the same.
Which promotions can I model?
A percent off products, a fixed amount off products, and free shipping. Product cost and the store’s outbound shipping cost stay the same, because you still ship the same goods.
Why does more volume not always save a discount?
If variable costs exceed what is left from the discounted order, every extra order deepens the loss. Then you need to change the discount, price, or costs, not just chase volume.
Does the planner include advertising?
No. It shows contribution after variable order costs, before ads. Use the break-even ROAS calculator for the advertising threshold.
Where do I get the numbers?
The easiest path is to reuse the margin calculator, or enter average product value, customer-paid shipping, tax, product cost, and fulfillment costs. The result is an estimate on an averaged order.
Want to check whether a promo will pay off in your store?
We can review pricing, discounts, AOV, and the purchase flow on Shopify, then point out the changes with the biggest effect on contribution.
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